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The forecasts for 2050 have already been reached, and France is gasping under the heat

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The Editor

All records have been broken, and it’s definitely concerning. Tuesday, June 23, 2026, was officially declared the hottest day ever recorded in France with an average national temperature of 29.8°C. During the heatwave of 2003, the temperature reached 29.47°C. While the capital experienced temperatures around 41°C, in some French cities, they soared up to 42°C, like in Lot-et-Garonne.

In Bordeaux and Nantes, it was hotter than in the Sahara Desert. “Next week should see a relative break. But Météo-France tells us there's a high probability that starting from the week after, we could return to extreme heat that might bring us back to..."until July 14th », indicated the Minister of Ecological Transition, Monique Barbut, while speaking on France Inter.


Predictions for 2050, a reality in 2026

Are the forecasts made for 2050 beginning to become reality sooner than expected? That's what the impressive heatwave currently sweeping through France seems to suggest. In its report m&.Weather report from Tuesday, June 23, 2026, Évelyne Dhéliat drew a parallel with the false forecast she made in 2014 about projections for August 18, 2050. Back then, forecasters imagined that by mid-century, temperatures would range between 35°C and 43°C in the middle of summer. Yet here we are in 2026, and those temperatures have already been reached. “We've already exceeded this 2050 projection ,” the presenter indicated. While the “false” forecasts predicted 30°C in Nantes, 42°C was reached in the afternoon of June 23, 2026


Violent consequences for wildlife and plants

The impact on populations is unprecedented and wildlife and plants are not spared either. With the lack of rain, intense heat, and wind, the consequences are dramatic. “Trees and plants in temperate forests may not necessarily respond well to the lack of water,” explains Jonathan Lenoir, a research ecologist at CNRS, to Huffpost. On top of this, there is significant drought and a high risk of wildfires. As the plants may not have had enough time to adapt to these sudden changes, their life cycles are disrupted and will likely lead to early harvests.

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For animals, it's the same observation: food sources are dwindling, and the mortality rate is increasing. When it comes to pets, it's important to ensure that they stay properly hydrated and to limit their time outdoors during peak heat times.