A few months ago, Rachida Dati, the current mayor of the 7th and minister of Culture, announced that she would withdraw from the race for the partial legislative elections in the 2nd district of Paris to fully dedicate herself to preparing her campaign for Paris 2026. A strategy that, according to a first survey conducted by Ifop, could pay off. But hold on (and thankfully?), this initial result is currently subject to a number of conditions, and could very well change quickly.
Rachida Dati, the future queen of Paris?
Between October 29 and November 3, 2025, Ifop, commissioned by Le Figaro and Sud Radio, surveyed 1,037 people registered on the Paris electoral rolls, aged 18 and over. And the voting intentions are quite clear for the...
At the moment, in the first round, the right-wing candidate, backed by the Republicans, MoDem, and UDI, would receive between 26 and 28% of the votes.En 2026, les parisiens voteront directement pour le Maire de Paris et auront le pouvoir de #changer Paris!
— Rachida Dati ن (@datirachida) November 3, 2025
J'appelle les habitants et commerçants à s'inscrire massivement sur les listes électorales à Paris.#Paris2026 pic.twitter.com/nNt1SVmbar
A percentage that, while it’s currently the highest for a candidate, remains limited, since Renaissance, the presidential party, has chosen to invest in its own candidate, Pierre-Yves Bournazel — a close associate of Édouard Philippe and a member of the Horizons party. This division within the right, though it currently has no obvious impact, could very well allow the left to break through and once again seize the crown.
A Comeback for the Left on the Horizon
Indeed, if, just under a year before the polls, Dati is leading in voting intentions, the trend could change very quickly. As of now, the PS candidate Emmanuel
Mon Paris, c’est un Paris pour toutes et tous. Rachida Dati, c’est la ville pour quelques-uns, uniquement les plus privilégiés.
La gauche à Paris, c’est un investissement massif dans le logement social. Je compte bien continuer en 2026. Il est urgent d’agir pour celles et ceux… pic.twitter.com/dIswd62jLZ
In the case of a triangular situation, following a potential left alliance, Ifop predicts a victory for them, with 42% of the votes, compared to 39% for Rachida Dati, who would lose some voters due to the division on the right. For the first round, for the RN candidates and Reconquête, the party of Eric Zemmour, the specialized market research group currently predicts only between 7 and 8% of the votes, and even though this is still quite significant, it seems we're pretty much safe.