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According to science, Europe has a 100% chance of being affected by a tsunami within the next 30 years

undefined undefined 16 mars 2025 undefined 07h30

The Editor

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It’s quite a sad piece of news that we are about to share with you. According to UNESCO, the chances of Europe avoiding a tsunami in the next 30 years are simply close to zero. A natural disaster is on the horizon, and coastal cities that could be affected need to start preparing now. Let us explain the reasons behind this phenomenon.

Here’s some news that might not exactly boost your mood and joy today: over the next three decades, Europe is definitely going to be hit by a tsunami. According to Vladimir Ryabibine, the executive secretary of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO in June 2022, this information is not to be taken lightly, and the disaster will happen no matter what. A new study has just identified the regions most at risk.


A Likely Tsunami in the Mediterranean

Scientists estimate there is a 100% chance that a tsunami will happen in Europe in the next 30 years, and a 95% chance it will occur in the Mediterranean Sea. A

🌊 FLASH I D´après l’UNESCO, un #tsunami frappera les côtes de la #Méditerranée dans les 30 prochaines années, avec un risque très proche de 100%.

(UNESCO) #Catastrophe pic.twitter.com/Hn2UNp2vG5

— Cerfia (@CerfiaFR) June 22, 2022


Expansion of UNESCO's "Tsunami Ready" Program

To help with tsunami protection, UNESCO made the exciting decision a few years ago to expand its "Tsunami Ready" program to all at-risk areas around the globe by 2030. This means thousands of sites will be involved, whereas only about fifty cities were focused on in recent years. The aim of this program? To ensure that 100% of at-risk coastal populations are ready to respond to such a disaster. "The tsunamis of 2004 and 2011 were a wake-up call," said Bernardo Aliaga, Chief Tsunami Expert at UNESCO a few years ago. Sweeping through many coasts of the Indian Ocean on December 26, 2004, the deadliest tsunami...The story has claimed around 230,000 lives across 14 countries. To prepare, we must anticipate. At this level, “work has been done to establish 12 tsunami warning centers covering most of the ocean, including the Mediterranean ,” with five located in Greece, Turkey, Italy, France, and Portugal.


A danger heightened by climate change

But then, why have the risks of tsunamis increased so much around the world in recent years, even reaching a 100% probability in Europe? There's no need to look far for the culprit; it’s once again the climate change and rising sea levels that are only getting worse. This is a new catastrophic milestone for the Earth, which has already reached almost 7 of its 9 “planetary alerts”. This is particularly highlighted in a study from a few years ago modeling tsunamis in Macau, China. It revealed that the rising sea levels allow tsunamis to travel further inland. In short, the Mediterranean has every reason to be prepared!

this danger to protect oneself as much as possible from its seriousness!